Review article

Problems of consistency of expert judgments in the method of hierarchy analysis








The paper considers the criterion of quality of experts` selection based on the results of their work in the method of analysis of hierarchies, which is at present the most popular method of multi-criteria effecting the evaluation of factors affecting the formation and operation of complex systems. The analysis of the content of this criterion shows that it is too rigid and not fully substantiated. The insufficiently reasoned exclusion from consideration of a part of expert estimations can result in distortion of calculations in the methods and models where weight coefficients are used. The authors have come to the conclusion that the specified criterion can`t be used for single-valued assessment of the quality of expert judgments.


Tutygin A. G. N. Laverov Federal Center for Integrated Arctic Research RAS

Korobov V. B. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology RAS

Menshikova T. V. Saint Petersburg State University of Architecture and Civil Engineering

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