Review article

The paper offers a method of seismic damage assessment based on modeling seismic damage as a random event. In order to forecast various seismic events during the building life cycle of a structure, the authors use a formula characterizing the behavior of the Poisson process in the final time interval. After establishing with the predetermined confidence probability of different combinations of seismic events, the statistical treatment of the losses corresponding to these combinations of damage recovery costs is carried out. The results obtained can be used for choosing the seismic retrofit strategy of the building.