Review article

Most of modern techniques for forecasting the construction duration are based on the use of statistical modelling of the work schedule, which requires both substantiation of the adopted laws for the distribution of random work duration, and planning of a certain organizational and technological sequence of work. Entire substantiation of all parameters of the construction work schedule leads to information complexity when using modern models for forecasting the construction work duration. In order to overcome the information complexity of predictive models, it is proposed to use the phenomenological approach including the assessment of the actual construction schedule entropy, which allows using a minimum of information on the planned and actualized construction schedules.