Review article

Analysis of existing methods for assessing the probability of accidents on the city's road network sections

UDC: 

629.331

DOI: 

10.23968/1999-5571-2021-18-2-222-231

Pages: 

222-231

Annotation: 

The article presents the analysis results of the existing methods of estimating the probability of occurrence of road traffic accidents on the city's road network (CRN), namely, the ultimate accident incidence rate method, statistical method and dynamic method. The analysis of each method on the example of the urban agglomeration sections of Belgorod allows selecting the most effective method for a specific section of the road network, depending on the parameters of this section.

Authors: 

Novikov A. N. Oryol State University named after I. S. Turgenev Oryol, Russia

Kushchenko L. E. Belgorod State Technological University named after V. G. Shukhov Belgorod, Russia

Kushchenko S. V. Belgorod State Technological University named after V. G. Shukhov Belgorod, Russia

Novikov I. A. Belgorod State Technological University named after V. G. Shukhov Belgorod, Russia